Predictions

100+ years of ‘Sure Thing’

Here are some examples of Benner's predictions:

The Great Depression, 1929 to 1941

The stock market crashed in 1929 and recovered during World War II in 1941. Benner’s chart says 1926 and prior were good times and 1927 was a period of panic. The year 1942 was the bottom of the hard times. While it may not be exactly on the dot, Benner predicted the Great Depression pretty accurately, give or take a few years.

Oil Crisis, 1973

As a result of an oil embargo in October 1973, the price of oil increased drastically. The stock market was negatively effected too. The price of oil did not fully recover until the mid 80s. In Benner’s chart, he predicted 1972 would be years of good economic times and 1978 would be hard times. This aligns with the oil crisis of 1973 pretty well.

Black Monday, 1987

A large, unanticipated crash occurred on Monday, October 19, 1987. It is unclear what caused Black Monday exactly. However, experts theorize it’s because of surging bull market that was overdue for a correction. Benner’s Cycles are a bit off having predicted this crash to be in 1985, but it’s only a few years off!

Dot Com Bubble, 1995 to 2002

The stock market rapidly rose as a result of website investment from 1995 to a peak in 2000. Following this intense rise, the dot com bubble burst in 2002. Through 2001 to 2003, there was also a recession that primarily affected the United States. Benner’s Cycle show that 1999 was a period of panic, which is true considering the Y2K bug fear and investors pouring money into internet ventures. Had people sold their assets in 1999, they would’ve weathered the storm. He was a bit off with 2005 being the low point, since 2002/2003 was the accurate year.

The Financial Crisis, 2007 to 2008

As a result of aggregate failed subprime mortgages, the stock market crashed in 2007 which bled into 2008. Since the Financial Crisis happened in the latter half of 2007, Benner wasn’t far off with this year being prosperous. After all, many were buying multiple properties in 2007 and the mid-2000s. Had people sold their properties in early 2007, they would’ve avoided the crisis altogether. He was a bit off with 2012 being the crash year, but otherwise pretty on the nose.

Interestingly, Benner has been quite accurate, give or take a few years. This is particularly noteworthy considering all the fancy technology and metrics we have in the financial world today. Benner was a farmer, but he was a wise financier too! He used his knowledge of supply and demand of crops to inform his predictions. Turns out, the same logic applies.

The Benner cycle says that 2007 was a year of high prices and a time to sell stocks. If you see the S&P chart below, this would have prepared you well for the coming crash of 2008.

Covid 19 Crash

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted financial markets:

Market Volatility: Stock markets saw extreme fluctuations, with sharp declines followed by quick recoveries.
Liquidity Crisis: Panic selling led to a liquidity crisis, causing widespread price drops.
Government Response: Central banks and governments enacted unprecedented measures to stabilize markets, including stimulus packages.

Studying market history will help you learn how these cycles affect the price and how they still affect the price today. Now the year is 2025, and according to the Benner cycle, we are just coming out of a panic cycle.

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