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The darker line represents major cycles. The lighter lines represent minor cycles.

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  • A → Panic Years: Market panics lead to irrational buying or selling, causing extreme price fluctuations. This is the top of the bull markets, i.e. time to sell.

  • B → Good Times: According to Benner’s analysis, there are specific periods of high prices that are optimal for selling stocks, assets, and values.

  • C → Hard Times: this is the bear market. Buy and hold stocks, goods, and assets until the good times, then sell.

100+ years of ‘Sure Thing’

 The Benner Cycle in Cryptocurrency

The Benner cycle, a concept from the 19th century, remains a compelling framework for understanding market rhythms.

 

Originally formulated by Samuel Benner, a farmer turned prognosticator, the Benner cycle identifies a pattern of financial ebb and flow based on commodity prices.

 

It posits a recurring sequence of years marked by peaks, troughs, and recoveries, suggesting an 11-year cycle of prosperity, followed by 3 years of recession, and then a 7-year recovery phase.

 

This cyclical pattern, while rooted in agricultural commodity prices, has been observed in various markets over the decades, including the stock market.

In the volatile realm of cryptocurrency, the Benner cycle offers a lens through which to view the seemingly unpredictable swings.

 

The crypto market, with its rapid growth and sudden downturns, parallels the traditional markets where the Benner cycle has been applied.

 

Traders and investors seek to decode patterns within the chaos, and the Benner cycle provides a historical perspective that can inform strategies for navigating the crypto market’s unique challenges.

 

By aligning the cycle’s phases with the cryptocurrency market’s trends, one can potentially anticipate periods of growth and decline, thereby making more informed decisions about when to invest, hold, or sell digital assets.

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 “Sure thing. Save this card and watch it closely.”
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Benner Cycle on Solana - 2025
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